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'4·15 총선 출구조사' 부산·울산서 미래통합당 우세

민주당 현역도 모두 경합지역으로 분류...민주당 "뚜껑 열어봐야 안다"

21대 총선 투표가 마무리된 가운데 지상파 3사의 출구조사 결과 부산과 울산에서 미래통합당 후보자들이 우세를 보였다.

15일 오후 6시 15분 지상파 3사의 출구조사 결과 부산은 18개 지역구 중 통합당이 10곳에서 우세를 보였으며 8곳은 경합을 벌이는 것으로 나왔다.

▲ 15일 오후 7시 미래통합당 부산시당사에서 지상파 3사의 21대 총선 출구 조사 결과를 보고 환호하고 있는 부산 총선 후보자들. ⓒ프레시안(박호경)

경합 지역 중에서는 민주당이 사하갑, 북강서갑, 남을에서 우세를 보였으나 나머지 지역구에서는 통합당 후보가 많이 앞서거나 경합에서 우세를 보였다.

부산 최대 격전지인 부산진갑에서는 예상을 깨고 서병수 통합당 후보가 47.6%로 현역 김영춘 민주당 후보(43.5)를 이겼으며 현역 의원의 대결로 관심을 모았던 남구을에서는 박재호 민주당 후보가 50.7%로 이언주 통합당 후보(48.8%)를 근소한 차이로 앞섰다.

4번째 대결을 펼치는 북·강서갑에서는 전재수 민주당 후보가 50.9%로 박민식 통합당 후보(48.5%)를 사하갑에서는 최인호 민주당 후보가 50.1%로 김척수 통합당 후보(49.1%)를 근소한 차이로 앞서는 등 민주당 현역 의원들의 쉽지 않은 승부가 예고됐다.

통합당 부산시당사에서 출구 조사 결과를 함께 시청한 후보자들과 지지자들은 우세 지역이 나올 때마다 환호를 지르며 후보자의 이름을 연호했다.

출구조사 결과 발표 후 서병수 후보는 기자들과 만나 "전혀 예상하지 못했다. 지역에서 많이 격려해주지만 김영춘 의원도 만만치 않기에 가슴을 상당히 저렸다"며 "아직 사전 투표율이 반영 안 됐기에 걱정되는 점이 있다. 뚜껑은 열어봐야 되지 않겠는가"라고 말했다.

▲ 15일 오후 6시 15분 지상파 3사의 21대 총선 출구 조사 결과를 확인하고 있는 김영춘, 최인호 민주당 후보. ⓒ프레시안(홍민지)

이와 반대로 민주당 후보자들은 자신의 캠프에서 지지자들과 함께 차분한 분위기로 출구 조사 결과를 보다가도 자신의 후보자가 우세한다는 발표가 나오자 환호성을 질렀다.

자신의 캠프에서 출구 조사 결과를 확인한 김영춘 후보는 "예전에도 지는 것으로 나왔고 출구조사도 틀렸다. 반드시 이길 것이다"며 "실제 개표 결과는 반대로 조금 차이가 나겠지만 이길 것이다. 오후 10시에 다시 만나자"고 차분함을 놓치지 않았다.

최인호 후보도 "출구 조사만 보면 부산 쪽에는 전반적으로 견제 심리가 발동된 것 같다"며 "초접전 지역이 여러 곳이 되니 결과는 나와봐야 한다. 국정 안정권이나 지역발전이 막판에 뒷심을 발휘할 것인지 결과를 봐야 할 것 같다"고 말했다.

울산도 지상파 방송3사의 공동 출구 조사결과 미래통합당 후보들의 당선이 유력할 것으로 예측된다.

먼저 6개 지역 가운데 중구 박성민, 남구갑 이채익, 남구을 김기현, 동구 권명호, 울주군 서범수 후보 등 5곳에서 통합당이 우세를 보이고 있다.

나머지 1곳은 경합 지역인 북구로 민주당 이상헌 후보가 44.6%, 통합당 박대동 후보가 44.2% 나오면서 0.4%p 차이로 초접전을 벌이고 있다.

한편 지상파 3사의 공동 출구 조사는 오늘 오전 6시부터 오후 6시까지 전국의 유권자 60만여명을 대상으로 이뤄졌고 95%의 신뢰수준에 허용오차는 플러스 마이너스 2.2~6.9%p이다. 이번 총선의 최종 당선 결과는 이날 오후 10시 이후에 윤곽이 드러날 것으로 보인다

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kb국민은행343601-04-082252 [예금주 프레시안협동조합(후원금)]으로 계좌이체도 가능합니다.
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  #severity: E_NOTICE
  trace: {
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      › } else {    $name = $dbData[$dbSort[$byValue['id']]]['name'];    $dbData = [];
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    App\Http\Modules\Site\PsArticleBylineModuleComposer->compose() {}
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      › 
      › <?php if(isset($mods[$bylineKey])): ?> <?php echo $__env->make('site.modules.' . $mods[$bylineKey]['slug'] . '.' . $mods[$bylineKey]['layout'], \Illuminate\Support\Arr::except(get_defined_vars(), ['__data', '__path']))->render(); ?> <?php endif; ?> <!-- 모듈: 바이라인 -->}
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      arguments: {
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    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Engines/CompilerEngine.php:59 {
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    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Engines/CompilerEngine.php:59 {
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      › // which have been rendered for right exception messages to be generated.$results = $this->evaluatePath($compiled, $data);arguments: {
        $__path: "/storage/wcms/storage/framework/views/2900abc60647b38ab102a463263b637670a22ee8.php"
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      Facade\Ignition\Views\Engines\CompilerEngine->get($path, array $data = []) …
      › 
      ›     return parent::get($path, $data);}
      arguments: {
        $path: "/lstorage/www/resources/views/site/templates/pressian/page.blade.php"
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    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Engines/CompilerEngine.php:59 {
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      › // which have been rendered for right exception messages to be generated.$results = $this->evaluatePath($compiled, $data);arguments: {
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      › 
      ›     return parent::get($path, $data);}
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      › 
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      › 
      ›     return $next($request);}
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    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:171 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->Illuminate\Pipeline\{closure} …
      › $carry = method_exists($pipe, $this->method)                ? $pipe->{$this->method}(...$parameters)                : $pipe(...$parameters);
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
        $next: Closure($passable) {#1275 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Foundation/Http/Middleware/VerifyCsrfToken.php:76 {
      Illuminate\Foundation\Http\Middleware\VerifyCsrfToken->handle($request, Closure $next) …
      › ) {    return tap($next($request), function ($response) use ($request) {        if ($this->shouldAddXsrfTokenCookie()) {
      arguments: {
        Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:171 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->Illuminate\Pipeline\{closure} …
      › $carry = method_exists($pipe, $this->method)                ? $pipe->{$this->method}(...$parameters)                : $pipe(...$parameters);
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
        $next: Closure($passable) {#1275 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/View/Middleware/ShareErrorsFromSession.php:49 {
      Illuminate\View\Middleware\ShareErrorsFromSession->handle($request, Closure $next) …
      › 
      ›     return $next($request);}
      arguments: {
        Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:171 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->Illuminate\Pipeline\{closure} …
      › $carry = method_exists($pipe, $this->method)                ? $pipe->{$this->method}(...$parameters)                : $pipe(...$parameters);
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
        $next: Closure($passable) {#1275 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/spatie/laravel-referer/src/CaptureReferer.php:21 {
      Spatie\Referer\CaptureReferer->handle($request, Closure $next) …
      › 
      ›     return $next($request);}
      arguments: {
        Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:171 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->Illuminate\Pipeline\{closure} …
      › $carry = method_exists($pipe, $this->method)                ? $pipe->{$this->method}(...$parameters)                : $pipe(...$parameters);
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
        $next: Closure($passable) {#1275 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Session/Middleware/StartSession.php:56 {
      Illuminate\Session\Middleware\StartSession->handle($request, Closure $next) …
      › 
      › $response = $next($request);arguments: {
        Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:171 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->Illuminate\Pipeline\{closure} …
      › $carry = method_exists($pipe, $this->method)                ? $pipe->{$this->method}(...$parameters)                : $pipe(...$parameters);
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
        $next: Closure($passable) {#1275 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Cookie/Middleware/AddQueuedCookiesToResponse.php:37 {
      Illuminate\Cookie\Middleware\AddQueuedCookiesToResponse->handle($request, Closure $next) …
      › {    $response = $next($request);arguments: {
        Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:171 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->Illuminate\Pipeline\{closure} …
      › $carry = method_exists($pipe, $this->method)                ? $pipe->{$this->method}(...$parameters)                : $pipe(...$parameters);
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
        $next: Closure($passable) {#1275 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Cookie/Middleware/EncryptCookies.php:66 {
      Illuminate\Cookie\Middleware\EncryptCookies->handle($request, Closure $next) …
      › {    return $this->encrypt($next($this->decrypt($request)));}
      arguments: {
        Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:171 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->Illuminate\Pipeline\{closure} …
      › $carry = method_exists($pipe, $this->method)                ? $pipe->{$this->method}(...$parameters)                : $pipe(...$parameters);
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
        $next: Closure($passable) {#1275 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:105 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->then(Closure $destination) …
      › 
      ›     return $pipeline($this->passable);}
      arguments: {
        Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Routing/Router.php:682 {
      Illuminate\Routing\Router->runRouteWithinStack(Route $route, Request $request) …
      ›                         );                    });}
      arguments: {
        $destination: Closure($request) {#1287 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Routing/Router.php:657 {
      Illuminate\Routing\Router->runRoute(Request $request, Route $route) …
      › return $this->prepareResponse($request,    $this->runRouteWithinStack($route, $request));
      arguments: {
        $route: Illuminate\Routing\Route {#797 …}
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Routing/Router.php:623 {
      Illuminate\Routing\Router->dispatchToRoute(Request $request) …
      › {    return $this->runRoute($request, $this->findRoute($request));}
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
        $route: Illuminate\Routing\Route {#797 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Routing/Router.php:612 {
      Illuminate\Routing\Router->dispatch(Request $request) …
      › 
      ›     return $this->dispatchToRoute($request);}
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Foundation/Http/Kernel.php:176 {
      Illuminate\Foundation\Http\Kernel->Illuminate\Foundation\Http\{closure} …
      › 
      ›     return $this->router->dispatch($request);};
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:130 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->Illuminate\Pipeline\{closure} …
      › try {    return $destination($passable);} catch (Exception $e) {
      arguments: {
        Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/fideloper/proxy/src/TrustProxies.php:57 {
      Fideloper\Proxy\TrustProxies->handle(Request $request, Closure $next) …
      › 
      ›     return $next($request);}
      arguments: {
        Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:171 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->Illuminate\Pipeline\{closure} …
      › $carry = method_exists($pipe, $this->method)                ? $pipe->{$this->method}(...$parameters)                : $pipe(...$parameters);
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
        $next: Closure($passable) {#1275 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Foundation/Http/Middleware/TransformsRequest.php:21 {
      Illuminate\Foundation\Http\Middleware\TransformsRequest->handle($request, Closure $next) …
      › 
      ›     return $next($request);}
      arguments: {
        Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:171 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->Illuminate\Pipeline\{closure} …
      › $carry = method_exists($pipe, $this->method)                ? $pipe->{$this->method}(...$parameters)                : $pipe(...$parameters);
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
        $next: Closure($passable) {#1275 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Foundation/Http/Middleware/TransformsRequest.php:21 {
      Illuminate\Foundation\Http\Middleware\TransformsRequest->handle($request, Closure $next) …
      › 
      ›     return $next($request);}
      arguments: {
        Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:171 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->Illuminate\Pipeline\{closure} …
      › $carry = method_exists($pipe, $this->method)                ? $pipe->{$this->method}(...$parameters)                : $pipe(...$parameters);
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
        $next: Closure($passable) {#1275 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Foundation/Http/Middleware/ValidatePostSize.php:27 {
      Illuminate\Foundation\Http\Middleware\ValidatePostSize->handle($request, Closure $next) …
      › 
      ›     return $next($request);}
      arguments: {
        Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:171 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->Illuminate\Pipeline\{closure} …
      › $carry = method_exists($pipe, $this->method)                ? $pipe->{$this->method}(...$parameters)                : $pipe(...$parameters);
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
        $next: Closure($passable) {#1275 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Foundation/Http/Middleware/CheckForMaintenanceMode.php:62 {
      Illuminate\Foundation\Http\Middleware\CheckForMaintenanceMode->handle($request, Closure $next) …
      › 
      ›     return $next($request);}
      arguments: {
        Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:171 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->Illuminate\Pipeline\{closure} …
      › $carry = method_exists($pipe, $this->method)                ? $pipe->{$this->method}(...$parameters)                : $pipe(...$parameters);
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
        $next: Closure($passable) {#1275 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/barryvdh/laravel-cors/src/HandlePreflight.php:29 {
      Barryvdh\Cors\HandlePreflight->handle($request, Closure $next) …
      › 
      ›     return $next($request);}
      arguments: {
        Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:171 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->Illuminate\Pipeline\{closure} …
      › $carry = method_exists($pipe, $this->method)                ? $pipe->{$this->method}(...$parameters)                : $pipe(...$parameters);
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
        $next: Closure($passable) {#1275 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Pipeline/Pipeline.php:105 {
      Illuminate\Pipeline\Pipeline->then(Closure $destination) …
      › 
      ›     return $pipeline($this->passable);}
      arguments: {
        Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Foundation/Http/Kernel.php:151 {
      Illuminate\Foundation\Http\Kernel->sendRequestThroughRouter($request) …
      ›                 ->through($this->app->shouldSkipMiddleware() ? [] : $this->middleware)                ->then($this->dispatchToRouter());}
      arguments: {
        $destination: Closure($request) {#34 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/vendor/laravel/framework/src/Illuminate/Foundation/Http/Kernel.php:116 {
      Illuminate\Foundation\Http\Kernel->handle($request) …
      › 
      ›     $response = $this->sendRequestThroughRouter($request);} catch (Exception $e) {
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
    /lstorage/www/public/index.php:83 {$response = $kernel->handle(    $request = Illuminate\Http\Request::capture());
      arguments: {
        $request: Illuminate\Http\Request {#55 …}
      }
    }
  }
}